2012 Euro Cup semifinals: Italy vs. Germany, Las Vegas odds and pick

The 2012 Euro Cup is into the last four teams, so when Italy and Germany square off Thursday afternoon they shall be playing to take care of the winner in the Spain vs. Portugal game which takes place later today.
Recent history between those two teams favors Italy, but Germany doesn't worry about earlier times, these are dedicated to the sport available.
The German squad haven't beaten Italy in a competitive match.
"We can't reverse time, forget about over it, earlier times doesn't are likely involved within our planning," said German Coach Joachim Loew. "Another stat is the fact that Germany never won against Italy in a very major tournament, but what exactly?"
Las Vegas odds makers must feel it's the perfect time for Germany to win as they're the favourite at -135. The Over/Under number is 2.5.
This game is going to be a tricky, hard fought match. My buddies are telling check here me that I am going the wrong manner about this match, but here it is anyways!
Pick - Italy

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